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ANALYSIS

Postwar calls for change rise in Iran—but how far can they go?

Postwar calls for change rise in Iran—but how far can they go?

A reformist call to suspend uranium enrichment, release political prisoners, and curb the Revolutionary Guards’ power has intensified debate over Iran’s future at a moment of heightened pressure.

Global oil glut, price drop spell more trouble for Iran next year

Global oil glut, price drop spell more trouble for Iran next year

Iran may be heading into even greater financial strain as fresh data points to a worsening outlook for global oil markets, threatening the country’s most vital source of revenue.

IRGC moves to keep factions on message as Khamenei fades from view

With the supreme leader’s retreat from view since the 12-Day War with Israel, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) appear to have taken on his role as political disciplinarian, nudging senior figures to keep their feuds out of public view.

What’s behind US move to sanction Iran’s fintech sector

The latest round of US sanctions imposed on Iran mark a shift in Washington’s strategy, moving beyond conventional financial limits to target the intertwined financial and digital networks that sustain Tehran’s economy and political control.

From Moscow to Beirut: Larijani reemerges to hold the line for Tehran

From Moscow to Beirut: Larijani reemerges to hold the line for Tehran

Ali Larijani’s tour of Iraq and Lebanon a few weeks after his Russia visit underscores his re-emergence as a trusted envoy and crisis manager tasked with shoring up Tehran’s defences in the twilight of supreme leader Ali Khamenei’s rule.

Allies in name only? China’s money flows around Iran and Russia

Allies in name only? China’s money flows around Iran and Russia

While China keeps buying discounted oil from Iran and Russia, it is steering new investments and trade routes toward their competitors, official Chinese data reveals.

Shadow fleet sustains Iran’s oil flows but sanctions drive up costs

Shadow fleet sustains Iran’s oil flows but sanctions drive up costs

Tanker tracking data obtained by Iran International shows sharp fluctuations in Iranian oil discharges at Chinese ports this year, alongside a steep rise in floating oil stocks.

Khamenei’s Gen Z? How Tehran is selling a new face of ‘resistance’

Khamenei’s Gen Z? How Tehran is selling a new face of ‘resistance’

A young woman in a loosely draped hijab, strands of hair framing her face, flashes a peace sign while holding a photo of a slain Revolutionary Guard commander.

Iran's security shakeup is more rebrand than reboot

Iran's security shakeup is more rebrand than reboot

Ali Larijani’s reappointment as secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) may appear to mark a return to moderation, but it is better understood as a tactical facelift.

Postwar uncertainty triggers capital flight, gold rush in Iran

Postwar uncertainty triggers capital flight, gold rush in Iran

Capital flight from Iran’s stock market has intensified since the June war with Israel, with retail investors pulling half a billion dollars—much of it appearing to shift into gold or exit the country altogether.

The hollow state: how Islamic Republic endures by normalizing collapse

The hollow state: how Islamic Republic endures by normalizing collapse

A 12-day war with Israel has ushered Iran into a new phase where crisis is no longer episodic but structural—an unstable order held together by instability itself.

Sanctions reloaded: what’s at stake for Iran as snapback looms?

Sanctions reloaded: what’s at stake for Iran as snapback looms?

The triggering of international sanctions on Iran threatened by Europe could unleash a cascade of new challenges on the country's energy sector, from shrinking oil exports, blocked payments, halted infrastructure upgrades and deeper isolation from global markets.

Wells of denial: why Iran's water crisis isn't just about drought

Wells of denial: why Iran's water crisis isn't just about drought

Officials in Tehran blame drought and public overuse for Iran’s worst water shortage in living memory, but the crisis stems from decades of mismanagement, short-sighted policy and institutional denial.

Iran satellite launch signals defiance after war with Israel, experts say

Iran satellite launch signals defiance after war with Israel, experts say

Less than a month after the end of a 12-day war with Israel, Iran conducted a suborbital test using a satellite launch vehicle in a move experts say showcases its defiance and determination to advance its strategic goals.

With post-war deportations, Afghans in Iran bear brunt of official failures

With post-war deportations, Afghans in Iran bear brunt of official failures

In the midst of mounting economic pressure, international isolation and a series of military setbacks, Iran has launched a drive to deport Afghan migrants, marking the impoverished community's latest blow amid the vagaries of official policy.

No victory, no collapse: why Iran’s postwar narratives fall short

No victory, no collapse: why Iran’s postwar narratives fall short

Existing narratives competing to shape Iran’s future after the war with Israel offer little clarity, calling for a sober reassessment that confronts the questions of power, leadership and a potential transition from the Islamic Republic.

No easy way out: pessimism grows in Tehran as Europe hardens stance

No easy way out: pessimism grows in Tehran as Europe hardens stance

Diplomatic prospects between Iran and the West appear increasingly bleak, with Tehran’s political class voicing growing skepticism that a negotiated breakthrough is still possible.

Are Arab states replacing Iran and Russia as regional power brokers?

Are Arab states replacing Iran and Russia as regional power brokers?

A recent flurry of high-level meetings across Central Asia and the Middle East signals a quiet but marked shift: Iran and Russia are increasingly sidelined in the region’s political and economic realignments in favor of Arab states.

Defection from Iran’s security forces is possible but perilous, experts say

Defection from Iran’s security forces is possible but perilous, experts say

Defection from within Iran’s armed forces could become a serious threat to the Islamic Republic—but only if defectors are given protection, a clear pathway to safety, and a structure they can trust, experts told Iran International.

Chant first, regret later: the consequences of Iran’s death rhetoric

Chant first, regret later: the consequences of Iran’s death rhetoric

For Iran’s rulers, wishing death upon enemies is mostly rhetoric—rarely acted on, but often carrying real consequences.

Iranian trade cratered during Israel conflict, data shows

Iranian trade cratered during Israel conflict, data shows

New data shows Iran’s foreign trade took a sharp hit during last month’s 12-day war with Israel, despite officials’ claims that it remained stable.

A win for Tehran: experts assess Carlson's Iran interview

A win for Tehran: experts assess Carlson's Iran interview

Tucker Carlson's interview with Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian was all Tehran could wish for, experts told Iran International: a global stage, no pushback, and a direct line to Donald Trump’s base.